MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Freddie Freeman ready to roll

Freddie Freeman has posted an .894 OPS with nine RBIs in June. AP

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Wednesday's top batter prop bets

Ozzie Albies | OVER 0.5 HR (+610)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.40 EV

Dansby Swanson | OVER 0.5 HR (+592)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.13 EV

Freddie Freeman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+221)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.44 EV

Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 RBI (+279)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.97 EV

Nico Hoerner | UNDER 1.5 TB (-110)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.56 EV

Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets

Aaron Civale | UNDER 3.5 K (+122)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.70 EV

Max Scherzer | UNDER 3.5 K (-104)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.36 EV

Shane McClanahan | UNDER 4.5 K (-104)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.83 EV

Sam Aldegheri | UNDER 2.5 K (-101)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.37 EV

Kyle Leahy | UNDER 3.5 K (-104)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.83 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.

Arizona Diamondbacks Game Total UNDER
Games involving Arizona have been under this total in seven straight contests. (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -108

St. Louis Cardinals Run Line
The Cardinals have won this bet 12 times in the team's last 15 games. (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +115

Washington Nationals Game Total OVER
Games involving the Nationals have gone over this total in seven consecutive contests. (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 10 @ -105

Chicago White Sox Game Total OVER
This total has gone over in eight of the last 10 road games involving the White Sox. (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -108