MLB betting tips for Tuesday: Cards seek to keep home streak going

The St. Louis Cardinals have been hitting the ball well in June. Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Tuesday's top batter prop bets

Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+650)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.98 EV

Royce Lewis | OVER 1.5 TB (+217)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.36 EV

Matt Chapman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+263)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.80 EV

Sal Stewart | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+104)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.58 EV

Drake Baldwin | UNDER 1.5 TB (-121)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.14 EV

Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets

Zebby Matthews | UNDER 4.5 K (+117)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.29 EV

Hunter Brown | OVER 6.5 K (-115)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.67 EV

Mitch Keller | UNDER 4.5 K (-122)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.93 EV

Grant Holmes | OVER 4.5 K (+103)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.89 EV

Michael King | OVER 2.5 ER (+100)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.74 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.

St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline
The Cardinals have won five consecutive games at Busch Stadium. (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI). Current odds: -114

Washington Nationals Game Total OVER
Games involving the Nationals have gone over this total six straight times. (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -119

Arizona Diamondbacks Game Total UNDER
Games involving the D-backs have gone under this total in six consecutive contests. (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -101

Athletics Run Line
The Athletics have won this bet in 11 of their last 15 games. (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -101