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MLB betting tips for Tuesday: Can Judge help Yankees break out of road slump?

As a team, the New York Yankees have hit just .209 over the past seven days. Patrick Smith/Getty Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Tuesday's top batter prop bets

Aaron Judge | OVER 0.5 HR (+297)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.61 EV

Alex Bregman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+202)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.31 EV

Steven Kwan | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+112)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.22 EV

Connor Norby | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+108)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.51 EV

Ryan Jeffers | OVER 0.5 RBI (+202)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.90 EV

Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets

Paul Skenes | OVER 7.5 K (-105)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.49 EV

Eury Perez | UNDER 5.5 K (-115)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.54 EV

Zack Wheeler | UNDER 6.5 K (-118)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.08 EV

Tatsuya Imai | UNDER 4.5 K (+127)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.29 EV

Walbert Urena | UNDER 3.5 K (+102)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.39 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.

Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Diamondbacks have been under this total in 11 straight contests. (+11.20 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +105

New York Yankees Team Total UNDER:
The Yankees have gone under this total in eight consecutive road games. (+8.30 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -110

Washington Nationals 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
Washington has won this bet in five consecutive road games. (+5.05 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 0.5 @ -115

New York Mets Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have gone under this total in 16 of their last 20 games. (+11.75 Units / 51% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +114