All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Matt McLain | OVER 0.5 HR (+840)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.67 EV
Ceddanne Rafaela | OVER 0.5 RBI (+298)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.93 EV
Trevor Story | OVER 0.5 RBI (+309)
Projection: 28% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.16 EV
Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 RBI (+263)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.23 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+115)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.09 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Jose Soriano | OVER 6.5 K (+108)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.72 EV
JR Ritchie | UNDER 5.5 K (-156)
Projection: 72% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.68 EV
Shane Baz | UNDER 2.5 ER (+119)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.80 EV
Janson Junk | UNDER 2.5 ER (-107)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.61 EV
Tanner Bibee | OVER 4.5 K (+125)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.76 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season's play.
Chicago Cubs Moneyline:
The Cubs have won 11 consecutive home games. (+11.00 Units / 72% ROI). Current odds: -219
Tampa Bay Rays Game Total UNDER:
The Rays have been in eight straight games where this bet went under. (+8.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -112
Cleveland Guardians 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Guardians have won this bet in 12 of their last 15 road games. (12-3) (+9.25 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 0.5 @ -130
Detroit Tigers 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
Detroit has not lost this bet in five consecutive home games. (+4.15 Units / 73% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ -140
San Diego Padres 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Padres have gone under this total in eight of their last 10 road contests. (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -154