MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Okamoto to continue roll for Jays?

Kazuma Okamoto's four-game hitting streak has helped move the Jays out of the AL East cellar and into the playoff hunt. Julio Aguilar/Getty Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Wednesday's top batter prop bets

Jac Caglianone | OVER 0.5 HR (+660)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.37 EV

Kazuma Okamoto | OVER 0.5 HR (+582)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.24 EV

Kazuma Okamoto | OVER 0.5 RBI (+263)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.13 EV

Charles McAdoo | OVER 0.5 H+R+RBI (-110)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.86 EV

Joc Pederson | UNDER 0.5 H (+132)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.81 EV

Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets

Seth Lugo | UNDER 4.5 K (+106)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.33 EV

Chris Bassitt | OVER 4.5 K (-110)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.50 EV

Robert Stock | UNDER 3.5 K (+127)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.70 EV

Payton Tolle | UNDER 1.5 ER (+130)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.76 EV

Aaron Nola | UNDER 5.5 K (+110)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.39 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.

Atlanta Braves Team Total UNDER
The Braves have gone under this total in 10 consecutive road games. (+10.00 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -130

St. Louis Cardinals 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line
St. Louis has won this bet in eight straight contests. (+8.25 Units / 98% ROI). Current odds: 0.5 @ -110

Milwaukee Brewers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER
Milwaukee has gone over this total in seven straight home games. (+7.35 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -130

Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline
The Phillies are looking to extend their current five-game win streak. (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI). Current odds: -123