MLB betting tips for Tuesday: Back in Baltimore, will Coby Mayo and Orioles stay hot?

Coby Mayo is batting just .206 at home this season. James A. Pittman-Imagn Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Tuesday's top batter prop bets

Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 HR (+566)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $3.56 EV

Owen Caissie | OVER 0.5 H+R+RBI (-107)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.31 EV

Griffin Conine | OVER 0.5 RBI (+258)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.25 EV

Coby Mayo | UNDER 0.5 H (+120)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.11 EV

Taylor Walls | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+138)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.72 EV

Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets

Carlos Rodon | UNDER 5.5 K (-155)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.78 EV

Jose Soriano | UNDER 2.5 ER (-150)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.70 EV

Foster Griffin | OVER 5.5 K (-119)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.54 EV

Ranger Suarez | OVER 4.5 K (-107)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.13 EV

Tyler Mahle | UNDER 4.5 K (-107)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.45 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.

Baltimore Orioles Team Total OVER
Baltimore has been over this total in eight consecutive contests. (+8.20 Units / 96% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -140

St. Louis Cardinals 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line
The Cardinals have won this bet in seven straight games. (+7.20 Units / 97% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ +114

Texas Rangers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER
Texas has been under this total in seven straight games. (+7.20 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -135

Milwaukee Brewers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER
The Brewers have been over this total six consecutive times at American Family Field. (+6.20 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +114