All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 HR (+498)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $5.25 EV
JJ Bleday | OVER 0.5 HR (+515)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $3.38 EV
JJ Bleday | OVER 0.5 RBI (+264)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.98 EV
Eugenio Suarez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+284)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.42 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 TB (-129)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.50 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Framber Valdez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-134)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $31.11 EV
Michael Lorenzen | UNDER 3.5 K (+131)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.29 EV
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 9.5 K (-130)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.26 EV
Ian Seymour | OVER 4.5 K (+116)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.14 EV
Hurston Waldrep | OVER 3.5 K (+101)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $6.63 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Tampa Bay Rays Run Line:
The Rays have won this bet in seven straight games. (+9.45 Units / 135% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -102
Atlanta Braves Game Total UNDER:
Games involving the Braves have gone under this total six consecutive times. (+6.00 Units / 95% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -112
Philadelphia Phillies Team Total OVER:
The Phillies have gone over this total in five straight home games. (+5.25 Units / 95% ROI). Current odds: 5.5 @ +110
Seattle Mariners Team Total UNDER:
The Mariners have gone under this total in 12 of their last 15 games. (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -130