All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Jorge Soler | OVER 0.5 HR (+690)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.03 EV
Nick Kurtz | OVER 0.5 HR (+244)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.90 EV
Miguel Rojas | OVER 0.5 H (-124)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.81 EV
Nico Hoerner | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+114)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.89 EV
Kyle Manzardo | UNDER 0.5 H (+132)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.61 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Griffin Canning | UNDER 3.5 ER (-106)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.99 EV
Braxton Ashcraft | UNDER 6.5 K (-155)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.24 EV
Ryan Weathers | OVER 6.5 K (+113)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.29 EV
Gage Jump | UNDER 4.5 K (+123)
Projection: 48% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.44 EV
Ranger Suarez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-148)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.53 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Philadelphia Phillies 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Phillies have surpassed their 1st 5 innings total in seven straight games at Citizens Bank Park (+7.10 Units / 95% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -154
Minnesota Twins Game Total OVER:
The game total has gone over the pregame line in 15 of the past 20 Twins' road games. (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -103
Los Angeles Dodgers 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Dodgers have led after five innings in 14 of their past 20 games away from Dodger Stadium. (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI). Current odds: -105
Chicago Cubs Moneyline:
The Cubs have won eight of their past 10 games. (+6.35 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: -149
Los Angeles Angels 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
This bet has won in 14 of the past 20 Angels games. (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI). Current odds: 0.5 @ +114