All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 HR (+670)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $46.53 EV
Pedro Pages | OVER 0.5 HR (+960)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.53 EV
Curtis Mead | OVER 0.5 RBI (+215)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.57 EV
Tommy Edman | UNDER 0.5 H (+160)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.41 EV
Kyle Tucker | UNDER 0.5 H (+166)
Projection: 45% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.92 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Logan Gilbert | UNDER 5.5 K (-136)
Projection: 96% chance of this bet hitting, with a $90.77 EV
Hunter Greene | OVER 6.5 K (+103)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $36.98 EV
Sean Burke | UNDER 5.5 K (+103)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.90 EV
Brandon Young | UNDER 4.5 K (+118)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.09 EV
Braxton Ashcraft | UNDER 5.5 K (+118)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.79 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Top Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Rays Run Line:
A bet on the Rays run line has won nine straightt. (+12.25 Units / 136% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +121
New York Yankees Team Total Under:
The Yankees have gone under the team total in eight straight home games. (+8.00 Units / 79% ROI). Current odds: 5.5 @ -130
Detroit Tigers Team Total Over:
The Tigers have gone over the team total in seven straight games. (+7.10 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +114
Chicago Cubs Moneyline:
A bet on the Cubs moneyline has cashed in 15 of their last 20 games. (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI). Current odds: -162
Atlanta Braves Game Total Under:
Eight of the last 10 Braves games have gone under the total. (+5.75 Units / 53% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -106