All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+980)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.55 EV
Gabriel Moreno | OVER 0.5 HR (+930)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.98 EV
Kyle Manzardo | OVER 0.5 RBI (+228)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.07 EV
Jorge Soler | UNDER 0.5 H (+137)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.18 EV
Chase Meidroth | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-110)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.87 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Logan Gilbert | UNDER 5.5 K (+125)
Projection: 96% chance of this bet hitting, with a $115.33 EV
Reid Detmers | OVER 6.5 K (-149)
Projection: 75% chance of this bet hitting, with a $36.73 EV
Jared Jones | OVER 5.5 K (+101)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.47 EV
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | UNDER 1.5 ER (+122)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.40 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Top Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners Team Total Under:
The Mariners have scored less than their team total line in 12 straight games. (+12.30 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -125
Chicago White Sox Run Line:
The White Sox have covered their run line in five straight home games. (+5.60 Units / 76% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -103
Arizona Diamondbacks Game Total Under:
A bet on the under has won in 14 of the past 20 games for the Diamondbacks. (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -116
Pittsburgh Pirates Game Total Over:
A bet on the over has won in 11 of the past 15 games at PNC Park. (+6.90 Units / 42% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -108
Cincinnati Reds Game Total Over:
A bet on the over has won in 14 of the past 20 Reds road games. (+7.35 Units / 33% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -108