All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Salvador Perez | OVER 0.5 HR (+532)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.64 EV
Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 HR (+507)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.02 EV
Dansby Swanson | OVER 1.5 TB (+235)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.66 EV
Amed Rosario | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+103)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.33 EV
Paul Goldschmidt | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+119)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.80 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Grant Holmes | UNDER 3.5 K (+129)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.12 EV
Dylan Cease | OVER 6.5 K (-110)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.54 EV
Kumar Rocker | OVER 4.5 K (+131)
Projection: 48% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.88 EV
Zebby Matthews | UNDER 4.5 K (-129)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.13 EV
Brandon Woodruff | UNDER 4.5 K (+128)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.87 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Miami Marlins Run Line:
The Marlins have won this bet eight consecutive times at LoanDepot Park. (+9.60 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +112
Kansas City Royals Team Total OVER:
Kansas City has gone over this total in five straight games. (+5.15 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -145
Chicago White Sox Moneyline:
The White Sox have won this bet in 17 of the last 20 games played at Rate Field. (+16.00 Units / 74% ROI). Current odds: -105
Tampa Bay Rays Game Total UNDER:
Games involving the Rays have gone under this total in 12 of the team's last 15 contests. (+8.70 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -120