All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Logan O'Hoppe | OVER 0.5 HR (+680)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.06 EV
Tyler Soderstrom | OVER 0.5 HR (+485)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.06 EV
Bryce Harper | OVER 0.5 RBI (+184)
Projection: 41% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.53 EV
Dalton Rushing | UNDER 0.5 H (+126)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.41 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-112)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.24 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
J.T. Ginn | UNDER 5.5 K (-136)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.33 EV
Paul Skenes | UNDER 6.5 K (+100)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.94 EV
Spencer Arrighetti | OVER 5.5 K (-129)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.86 EV
Andrew Abbott | UNDER 2.5 ER (+124)
Projection: 48% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.42 EV
Paul Skenes | OVER 2.5 ER (+116)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.35 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Top Betting Trends
Miami Marlins Run Line:
This bet has won in six straight games in Miami. (+7.15 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +101
Pittsburgh Pirates Game Total Over:
A bet on the over has won in 14 of the past 20 Pirates games. (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI). Current odds: 10.5 @ -110
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline:
The Dodgers have won 13 of their past 15 games at Dodger Stadium. (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI). Current odds: -271
New York Yankees Moneyline:
The Yankees have won eight of their past 10 games. (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI). Current odds: -207