All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Matt Chapman | OVER 0.5 HR (+640)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.26 EV
Mike Trout | OVER 0.5 HR (+374)
Projection: 23% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.54 EV
Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 RBI (+207)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.75 EV
Bryan Reynolds | OVER 0.5 RBI (+219)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.68 EV
Blake Perkins | UNDER 1.5 TB (-113)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.62 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Bubba Chandler | UNDER 2.5 ER (+101)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.97 EV
Trevor McDonald | UNDER 4.5 K (-139)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.15 EV
Griffin Jax | OVER 4.5 K (+117)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.40 EV
Cade Cavalli | UNDER 4.5 K (-125)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.22 EV
Jacob deGrom | UNDER 1.5 ER (+109)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.54 EV
The BAT X Team Projections
Top Betting Trends
San Diego Padres Game Total UNDER:
Seven straight Padres home games have gone under the total. (+7.00 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -103
Washington Nationals Moneyline:
The Nationals have won this bet in 13 of their last 20 away games. (13-7) (+9.95 Units / 50% ROI). Current odds: +109
Houston Astros Team Total OVER:
The Astros have won this bet in 12 of their last 15 games. (+9.15 Units / 54% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +105
