All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Trent Grisham | OVER 0.5 HR (+525)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.63 EV
Jac Caglianone | OVER 0.5 HR (+610)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.16 EV
Willi Castro | OVER 0.5 RBI (+258)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.28 EV
Coby Mayo | OVER 1.5 TB (+210)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.93 EV
Hunter Feduccia | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+102)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.66 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Luinder Avila | UNDER 3.5 K (+124)
Projection: 74% chance of this bet hitting, with a $65.63 EV
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 8.5 K (-137)
Projection: 82% chance of this bet hitting, with a $58.36 EV
Tatsuya Imai | OVER 4.5 K (-159)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.58 EV
Will Warren | OVER 5.5 K (+119)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.42 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Colorado Rockies Team Total Over:
The Rockies have gone over this bet in seven straight games. (+7.15 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -115
San Diego Padres Game Total Under:
Six straight Padres home games have gone under the total. (+6.00 Units / 94% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -105
Boston Red Sox Run Line:
The Red Sox are 14-4-2 in their last 20 road games on the run line. (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -140
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline:
The Dodgers are 15-5 over their last 20 games. (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI). Current odds: -362
Chicago Cubs Team Total Under:
The Cubs have gone under this bet in eight of their last 10 road games. (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -135