All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Pete Alonso | OVER 0.5 HR (+490)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.64 EV
Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 RBI (+212)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.85 EV
Daulton Varsho | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+112)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.93 EV
Mike Trout | UNDER 0.5 H (+131)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.48 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 TB (-141)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.94 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Joey Cantillo | UNDER 1.5 ER (+131)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.49 EV
Joey Cantillo | OVER 5.5 K (+110)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.64 EV
Roki Sasaki | OVER 4.5 K (+129)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.98 EV
Trevor McDonald | UNDER 4.5 K (-159)
Projection: 72% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.84 EV
Nathan Eovaldi | UNDER 2.5 ER (-161)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.75 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
This bet has gone under for Arizona in 10 consecutive games. (+10.15 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -115
New York Yankees Team Total UNDER:
The Yankees have hit the under for this bet in seven straight road games. (+7.25 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +105
Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total UNDER:
The Dodgers have gone under this total in six consecutive home games. (+6.05 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 5.5 @ -145
Toronto Blue Jays 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
Toronto has won this bet in four of their last five games at the Rogers Centre. (+3.05 Units / 54% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ +105