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MLB betting tips for Tuesday: Kirby, Bassitt should see some strikeouts

George Kirby seeks his fifth win of the season on Tuesday. Stephen Maturen/Getty Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Tuesday's top batter prop bets

George Springer | OVER 0.5 HR (+640)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.80 EV

Ryan McMahon | OVER 0.5 RBI (+325)
Projection: 28% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.94 EV

Heliot Ramos | OVER 0.5 RBI (+215)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.67 EV

Jazz Chisholm Jr. | OVER 1.5 TB (+187)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.03 EV

Ildemaro Vargas | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+103)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.15 EV

Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets

Bubba Chandler | UNDER 4.5 K (-120)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.09 EV

Chris Bassitt | OVER 4.5 K (-103)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.72 EV

Michael Lorenzen | UNDER 3.5 K (+114)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.85 EV

Bryce Elder | UNDER 4.5 K (+118)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.79 EV

George Kirby | OVER 5.5 K (+108)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.28 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season's play.

Chicago Cubs Moneyline:
The Cubs are in the middle of a 12-game home winning streak. (+12.00 Units / 69% ROI). Current odds: -168

New York Yankees Run Line:
The Yankees have won this bet in seven straight home games. (+8.15 Units / 107% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -155

Tampa Bay Rays Game Total UNDER:
The game total has gone under in nine consecutive Rays games. (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 7 @ +103

Kansas City Royals Team Total OVER:
The Royals have hit this over in eight straight home contests. (+8.25 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -110

New York Mets 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have been under this bet in six consecutive road games. (+6.50 Units / 98% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +100