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MLB betting tips for Saturday: Back Cedric Mullins' bat

Cedric Mullins is in a great position to go over on home runs and RBIs today. Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Saturday's top batter prop bets

Brenton Doyle | OVER 0.5 HR (+1120)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $32.98 EV

Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 HR (+970)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.94 EV

Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 RBI (+310)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.71 EV

Jorge Mateo | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+111)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.25 EV

Isiah Kiner-Falefa | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+130)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.27 EV

Saturday's top pitcher prop bets

German Marquez | UNDER 3.5 K (+101)
Projection: 76% chance of this bet hitting, with a $52.24 EV

Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 1.5 ER (+105)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $40.94 EV

Chris Sale | OVER 7.5 K (-106)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $35.46 EV

Brandon Woodruff | UNDER 5.5 K (-137)
Projection: 72% chance of this bet hitting, with a $33.88 EV.

Gavin Williams | OVER 7.5 K (+116)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.20 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season's play.

Los Angeles Angels 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Over:
The Angels have won this bet in 12 straight games. (12-0) (+12.70 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -115

St. Louis Cardinals Team Total Over:
The Cardinals have won this bet in six straight away games. (6-0) (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -135

Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline:
The Dodgers have won this bet in 18 of their last 20 away games. (18-2) (+15.40 Units / 48% ROI). Current odds: -308