All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Today's top batter prop bets
Ketel Marte | OVER 0.5 HR (+450)
Projection: 24% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.64 EV
Gunnar Henderson | OVER 0.5 HR (+462)
Projection: 22% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.27 EV
Wyatt Langford | OVER 0.5 HR (+578)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.74 EV
Paul Goldschmidt | UNDER 0.5 H (+190)
Projection: 41% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.03 EV
Graham Pauley | OVER 0.5 RBI (+309)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.32 EV
Today's top pitcher prop bets
Michael McGreevy | UNDER 2.5 ER (-106)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.97 EV
Jeffrey Springs | OVER 4.5 K (-149)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.52 EV
Joey Cantillo | UNDER 2.5 ER (-140)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.69 EV
Nolan McLean | UNDER 5.5 K (-107)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.02 EV
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | UNDER 1.5 ER (+111)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.87 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top Betting Trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
New York Mets 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have gone under for this bet in 14 of their last 20 contests. (+7.95 Units / 32% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -154
San Diego Padres Run Line:
The Padres have won this bet in five straight games. (+6.30 Units / 126% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -136
Minnesota Twins Moneyline:
The Twins have won this bet in five consecutive home games. (+6.30 Units / 120% ROI). Current odds: +113
Los Angeles Angels Game Total OVER:
The Angels have won this bet in eight straight games. (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -105