All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 HR (+1080)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $34.05 EV
Coby Mayo | OVER 0.5 RBI (+259)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.36 EV
Jonathan Aranda | OVER 0.5 RBI (+270)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.03 EV
Jung Hoo Lee | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+111)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.95 EV
Spencer Jones | UNDER 0.5 H (+102)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.76 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Kyle Harrison | UNDER 6.5 K (+121)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.04 EV
Spencer Arrighetti | UNDER 5.5 K (-129)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.92 EV
Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 1.5 ER (-106)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.49 EV
Logan Webb | OVER 5.5 K (+114)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.88 EV
Patrick Corbin | OVER 3.5 K (-164)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.77 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
San Diego Padres Team Total UNDER:
The Padres have hit the under for this bet in eight consecutive home games. (+8.15 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -140
San Francisco Giants Run Line:
The Giants have won this bet in five straight games. (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -121
Houston Astros Team Total OVER:
The Astros have gone over this total in five straight road games. (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -120
Philadelphia Phillies Game Total UNDER:
Games involving the Phillies have gone under this total in 15 of the last 20 contests. (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -112